Area51 report says Workplace is on pace for 3 users with 3,000+ rep. if memory serves, yesterday it said "4 users"

How are report statistics calculated?

"On pace for 3 users" looks quite confusing because "Top Users" list right below shows 3 users with reputation over 3500 - and I checked that these guys have it over 3K for about a week at least.

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  • 1
    Yeah, the metric's pretty annoying because it almost always shows the current count unless you're getting 3k rep users left and right early on (due to the formula in NickC's answer)
    – Rarity
    Jun 26 '12 at 11:52

I looked at this a while back and I think the formula is:

3000 rep users per day = (rep users now) / (days in beta)

projected 3000 rep users at 90 days = FLOOR((3000 rep users per day) × 90)

For us that means...

We have 3 users / 75 days in beta = 0.04 3000users/day

FLOOR(0.04 × 90) = FLOOR(3.6) = 3.

  • I would upvote twice if I could. Somehow, this meaning of pace completely escaped my mind
    – gnat
    Jun 26 '12 at 7:11
  • 2
    @gnat IMO the more logical way to interpret it is "how many users are on pace" not "the site is on pace to have X users", meaning the pace would be the relative rep gain of the users, not the 3k rep users per day. But that would be a lot more expensive to calculate.
    – Rarity
    Jun 26 '12 at 13:10
  • I would think it would be number of users with rep > 3000*(# of days in beta/90). But that number would be 2500 at 75 days so would be the same. Jun 27 '12 at 13:49

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